Posts by David Hood
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My opinion is that it is an outlier poll, we will know in another 2 weeks- I thought it looked to much like the random sample happened to hit a lot of National voters and few Green voters- I just didn't see the Greens doing anything in those two weeks that would have caused them to lose one third of their support base.
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I think I should note that the Green's policy bears a very strong resemblance to that introduced by the right-wing state government of British Columbia (only the Green Party rate is not as high) which had been working very, very well for them
http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2014/03/british-columbia-carbon-tax-sanity
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Hard News: The Digital Natives, in reply to Richard Aston,
Richard, yes.
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Dinah, the Methodist archives were centralised in Christchurch, and had been closed since the earthquake (reopening last year). As one, if very time consuming, avenue, and were prepared to make the assumption that it was conducted through the church (and the additional assumption it is more likely to be all Methodists involved) you could look for evidence there. As a round about search for secretive ones (where there is much less likelihood of a paper trail being held at the church) you might find something looking at Methodist baptisms to children of unwed mothers in the period of your ancestors birth in the Dunedin area, and children who disappear would seem likely candidates for further investigation.
But that approach would be time consuming, and may involve some expense (I don't know what the archives policies are).Geoff I was once contacted by someone who said "I've been looking through your electoral rolls and my great grandfather and my great grandmother seem to be living in different parts of town". All I could agree was yes, yes they were.
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From back in the day, when I was matching records from historical sources, I would occasionally do narrowing down "these are the ones I can rule out" searches. For example, if I have a list of school rolls from an area, and a list of "these people have a birth certificate 5 or 6 years earlier" for those people that match together, then those people are part of the set of started school and known to have a birth certificate, so ruled out.
Some things that might be worth looking into as sources- if anyone had compiled baptismal records from churches in the area, school rolls, benevolent society/ charity records. For the adults it is mostly street directories or electoral roll records.
To a large extent it depends on how many resources have been collected and made available (because that is the hard work). -
I used to work on historical records. In one period, when the literacy requirement was pretty marginal (you could talk to the clerk) and the standard of names for the electoral roll was that you had to be able to be identified by it, there was a person listed as "James Conheady". With some analysis I managed to identify him in the following electoral roll as "James Kennedy".
I picture an immigrant going up to a clerk and saying in a strong Irish accent "I'm James Kennedy and I want to enroll to vote"
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I fed the Roy Morgan numbers into OneVoteTwoVoteRedVoteBlueVote. Keep in mind that as it is to the 4th of May, most of the polling period precedes Williamson's resignation, and does not cover the events since Collin's attacked Katie Bradford at all.
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Speaker: Sponsored post: Speed and Safety, in reply to Brent Jackson,
When a collision takes place the kinetic energy gets divided up among the car/car car/wall in some potentially complicated but important fashion. When a car hits a wall we don't much care what happens to the wall. It is like how much difference the stopping distance makes depends on how far away you are to apply it (so we can argue over what the numbers mean). But I think however much we argue about the numbers in different scenarios we probably all agree more speed equals worse outcome (other things being equal).
James, there is the old dodge of making an equation into a picture and uploading that.
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How about fixing the student loan repayments on secondary work- It seems to me that the way it is done makes a certain amount of day to day hardship for young people working 2 (or 3) jobs. Particularly for those people working 3 jobs with more or less equal hours.
It just seems to me there should be able to be a better way of handling things for a population where the demographics are of a low wage, casualised workforce.
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I read a month or so back that the tax take was coming in well below early optimistic projections of popularity (about half in fact for the first couple of months). It will probably make the 40 million for school buildings, but it may not get that much more.
