Posts by Joshua Arbury
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Whoever wins the leadership battle, I hope like he'll it is because Labour MPs think that's the person who can win the next election, not because it's a mate or there's a promise of a plum job. Another 2 terms of National would really hurt the country.
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Fair point on semantics Graeme.
I realise some Green voters hate Labour as much as National/Act/UF. I just wonder whether it's still not getting through that vote splitting is fine.
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Also interesting too see that if everyone who voted Garth Hughes had voted for Chauvel then he would have won Ohariu. Also all those Parker/Hay votes in Epsom would have elected Goldsmith and kept Banks out.
Lefties really need to learn how to vote strategically.
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A vote here for earthquake or #eqnz . I suspect in 20 years time that's how we'll look back at 2011. What a mad year.
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It's no surprise that Shearer is underdone. Heck he has only been an MP for two and a half years. I am sure he will learn.
Labour need someone who can be seen as a Prime Minister in waiting. Just like Key was before the 2008 election. I think Shearer is that person.
Main reason: he does a better John Key than Key himself does. And I mean that in a good way (great life story, likeable etc.)
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Hard News: Democracy Night, in reply to BenWilson,
I respectfully disagree that Auckland Central wouldn't benefit much from the City Rail Link. While the project's benefits are felt all around Auckland, they are felt most strongly in the city centre as without the project all the streets will be flooded with buses and cars by 2025 at the latest. We're literally talking wall to wall buses on Albert, Fanshawe & Symonds streets at peak times.
The CRL is also utterly critical for the City Centre Master Plan to happen. In terms of benefitting residents - remember that something like 20,000 people now live in the CBD. A pity it seems that hardly any of them vote though.
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Other interesting thought is how things might be different if left leaning voters were more strategic.
In Ohariu Dunne got 13228 votes, while Hughes and Chauvel got 13357 between them. Oops if you voted for Hughes!
In Epsom Banks got 14150 votes but add together Goldsmith, Parker and Hay you get 16428.
If the left had been smarter the Nats would really have no friends and be stranded on 59 seats
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Have had* Damn you auto-correct.
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Interesting thought I have gadgets over the past few days is that when the government does eventually change (2014 or 2017 I guess) it seems likely that it will be Labour and the Greens over powering no-friends National.
In other words in 2014 we could have a Labour PM but National be the largest party. Hopefully the country is mature enough to handle such an outcome.
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Hard News: Democracy Night, in reply to Russell Brown,
Thanks Russell that's what I was attempting to say. Especially relevant as the Greens are big PT supporters. Oh well Nikki is only 500 ahead with 6000 special votes on Auckland Central to be counted.
Stranger things have happened.