Posts by David Hood
Last ←Newer Page 1 2 3 4 5 Older→ First
-
Vice magazine has a more pragmatism based cause for ISIS shift from a ground campaign to terrorism than The Atlantic piece.
https://news.vice.com/article/why-the-islamic-state-attacked-paris-and-what-happens-next
-
I think I am starting to get Canadian awesomeness fatigue (or possibly envy) from the parade of articles coming across my newsfeed about the new Canadian government.
p.s. Scientists have now been unmuzzled, they are allowed to talk to he media and actually answer questions.
-
Well, that's a Canadian cabinet that makes a unusual and dramatic symbol of being actually representative of the population, which is something that in an ideal democracy should not be that unusual.
-
I am spending my evenings at the moment organising transcriptions of old census data, came across this
http://www.teara.govt.nz/en/photograph/28397/temple-of-truth-christchurch
-
Portugal also electorally interesting, leftists have an agreement of a coalition and a majority of seats, but the President has invited the right wing coalition (38% of seats) to form a minority government.
-
David Scott's model and my model seem to have been particularly disagreeing over Argentina in the past couple of weeks.
-
some stats- I am one up as of the quarter finals in terms of wins. But really, because of the variation on game day a better measure would closeness of points difference. If Argentina win by 1 then I will have picked the win but David Scott would be closer to the points difference between the teams.
Let's say I think we are in the same ball park :)
-
Field Theory: Our greatest fear, in reply to Sam M,
I don't- with only five matches to draw from I'm just taking a broad view- arguably though from the graphs you could claim that with Pocock on the field Australia have been underperforming slightly, and with him off they have been underperforming noticeably. Given the closeness of the Australia/ Argentina match that kind of thing could make a difference, but there are a whole bunch of other things that could make a difference on the day as well and I'm not really separating any of them out, figuring all in all they balance.
-
Field Theory: Our greatest fear, in reply to Euan Mason,
One thing I didn't look at, so don't know if it actually matters, was starting from the logical principle that a team that played itself should tie (or a least win as often as it loses). So a zero difference in ranks/ zero difference in score should, in a "seems like a reasonable argument" kind of way, be an origin point for the expected results. I just generated a basic line from the data to hand.
-
Field Theory: Our greatest fear, in reply to Euan Mason,
librcurl came in in R 3.2 as a cross platform way of getting https urls, so I would guess you are using a slightly older one. If that is the case, for the version you are using method = "internal" will work with Windows, method = "curl" should work with mac, and method = "wget" should work with most linux distros.