What Happens: The Sequel!

258 Responses

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  • Don Christie,

    What I cannot understand is with all the electronic voting, why do the precincts take so long to report? Should the result not be immediate?

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 1645 posts Report

  • Michael Savidge,

    Don,

    Perhaps if you were after a fair and legal result it would be more immediate.

    I imagine it takes a bit longer to manipulate the data to suit.... :)

    Somewhere near Wellington… • Since Nov 2006 • 324 posts Report

  • Don Christie,

    Maybe, as an ex-developer I always prefer the incompetence explaination to be explored first :-)

    That said, I am genuinely interested in the e-voting process there and why it is taking so long to churn out a result.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 1645 posts Report

  • dc_red,

    Meanwhile, in Connecticut ...

    Lieberman 44,157 46%
    Lamont 42,455 44%

    Close enough to keep it interesting with only 11% reporting. You've got to wonder about the 9% who voted for the Republican (shades of some Labour supporters not voting for Richard Worth in Epsom?).

    Oil Patch, Alberta • Since Nov 2006 • 706 posts Report

  • Hamish,

    Dems are claiming three now

    So is the NY times - they're all being fairly safe on their calls. Dems appear to have picked up 2 in the Senate and 3 in the House so far, although there are at least five or six disctricts that are heavily swaying left as the numbers come in: lots of action in Indiana (hard swing left), New Hampshire (might be split 1 for 1).. etc.

    Gotta say, it isn't shaping up to be a complete Democrat take-over - incumbents are, generally, keeping their seats. Will be interesting to see how the numbers finally stack up.

    The A.K. • Since Nov 2006 • 155 posts Report

  • Hamish,

    With just underway in NY, Hillary is kicking ass at 82.4%. That'll come down, but she'll take it easily.

    Virginia: 81% counted, Reps are 50.1 to 48.8 in the Senate, only a few thousand in it.

    Still, not many states where the incumbent is not holding out.

    The A.K. • Since Nov 2006 • 155 posts Report

  • dc_red,

    Still, not many states where the incumbent is not holding out.

    Yep, Robert C. Byrd is even holding on to West Virginia ... by 30% or so.

    For us lefties, it's hard to look at the maps and think "blue is good". I imagine the right finds it equally hard to accept red as a favourable colour. Sorry, "color".

    Oil Patch, Alberta • Since Nov 2006 • 706 posts Report

  • Hamish,

    Rhode Island has been called for Dems in the Senate with 0.7% counted - sounds a bit hopeful, but only 2 more pickups and the Dems have leveled the score with the Reps in the Senate.

    Whatever happens in Tennesee and Virginia will be the key. They're both just in favour of the Reps, but both races are very close.

    Another Indiana district goes blue - the only state to actually see changes confirmed so far. Total pickups in the House for Dems is 4 - at least another 10 needed to shift the balance of power.

    The A.K. • Since Nov 2006 • 155 posts Report

  • Don Christie,

    Hamish - the Senate was *never* going to be a route for the Democrats. The demographics of Senate representation simply don't favour them.

    Basically, each State gets 2 Senators, regardless of population. This skews representation towards the large mainly rural states and is one of the reasons behind the massive agriculture subsidies and pork barrel politics in general that are all pervasive in the US system.

    So we may see big swings in the votes between parties but if all that swing is concentrated in a few populated states it is unlikely to change much in the Senate.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 1645 posts Report

  • Danyl Mclauchlan,

    It looks as if the Reps will hold Tennessee and Virginia, and thus the Senate.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 927 posts Report

  • Paul Rowe,

    Lieberman looks to be extending his lead in Connecticut.

    Lake Roxburgh, Central Ot… • Since Nov 2006 • 574 posts Report

  • Hamish,

    Hamish - the Senate was *never* going to be a route for the Democrats. The demographics of Senate representation simply don't favour them.

    Yes, sorry, I was referring to the House (re-reading it, it did sound a bit n00bish). It's still very close though.

    Another district goes blue, this time in Connecticut.

    (also a correction: Kansas had the fourth swing.. not Indiana)

    Least we forget the Governors, there have been 3 swings to the Democrats, with New York, Ohio and Massachesetts ushering new faces. That puts the Blues and Red all square.

    The A.K. • Since Nov 2006 • 155 posts Report

  • Alastair Thompson,

    Ok... so is much clearer whats going on now

    Senate down to 4 races

    Dems have to win three and are presently losing three, Montana not reporting yet.

    Actually has just started 1000 votes counted

    The exit polls showed Montana, Missouri and VA going Dem hence the early euphoria. Montana and Missouri are presently headed republican way over the exit poll margin of error.

    VA is very very close 30,000 votes out of 2 million counted.

    Tennessee however looks like the racist George Allen has won. There is a great "George Allen Doesn't Like Black People" youtube video out there somewhere which everybody should watch.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 220 posts Report

  • Alastair Thompson,

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 220 posts Report

  • Hamish,

    Lamont concedes, Lieberman takes Connecticut- although the NY Times adds an element of confusion by awarding red ticks to winners regardless of affiliation.

    Two more disctricts go Blue - 7 seats have swung, the Dems are half way to victory in the House.

    Virginia is stays Red and it looks like Tennessee will too. No surprises brewing elsewhere in the Senate races so have to say that Senate will settle at 48 Blue, 52 Red.

    The A.K. • Since Nov 2006 • 155 posts Report

  • Alastair Thompson,

    CNN now has 9 seats gained by dems. 6 to go.

    Oddly the CNN TV coverage is only reporting 7.

    So web news is still best.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 220 posts Report

  • Don Christie,

    Strange they have not called VA and TN for the Reps. Most precincts counted in both states and TN especially seems a long way out.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 1645 posts Report

  • Don Christie,

    The dems are claiming the House.

    http://www.dccc.org/results/index.html

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 1645 posts Report

  • Don Christie,

    Ok, that's why VA wasn't called. Allen's lead of 30,000 just got halfed on a couple of precincts reporting....

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 1645 posts Report

  • Russell Brown,

    CNN's showing a 17-seat pickup now.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Paul Rowe,

    Maryland might conceivably go the other way with a third counted. Dem incumbent has retired.

    Montana potentially another Dem win (according to Pollster), but counting only just started

    Lake Roxburgh, Central Ot… • Since Nov 2006 • 574 posts Report

  • Alastair Thompson,

    Margin in TN is closing... it was 60k is now 40k.... and there will be a lot of absentee ballots to count.

    VA lead is only 11,000 votes now.

    And MO is favouring Democrats...only 6% counted.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 220 posts Report

  • Alastair Thompson,

    Missouri will be the new center of election fraud theory.... the current result is 13% away from the exit poll which had it +7 to dems. Is now -6.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 220 posts Report

  • Alastair Thompson,

    With the house going to the Dems Democraticunderground.com just crashed :)

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 220 posts Report

  • Paul Rowe,

    Shit, less than 8000 votes in VA now. Might be too little too late...

    Lake Roxburgh, Central Ot… • Since Nov 2006 • 574 posts Report

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