Hard News: The Big 2012 US Election PAS Thread
389 Responses
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It could be worse
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David Hood, in reply to
Apart from ’08, ’96, ’76,’64 and ’28-48
I did say Republican President, there are no Republican Bush/Nixon Presidents in those years as Democrats won. If I reword my claim for clarity- Romney is seeking to break the pattern that no Republican since 1928 has become president without a Nixon or Bush on the ticket.
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Rob Stowell, in reply to
I did see a comment yesterday declaring that the Republicans have bungled as many as five Senate races: Akin, Mourdock, can’t recall the others …
Tammy Baldwin in WI: the GOP were certainly hoping for a win here. But looks like Baldwin will be the first openly gay senator :)
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Rob Stowell, in reply to
Yeah, the Huffington post showed 2 million votes cast in Ohio, 1% reported a while ago. Not good maths.
It's weird, but probably the early vote results on the one hand, and the precincts reporting on the other...
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Google election results are pretty good if you want to drill down to county level.
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Looks to me that Obamas in the stronger position. Assuming they both win their easy & narrow states in the nytimes site then of the tossups Obama can afford to lose Florida, Ohio, and either Virginia or Wisconsin & still get above 270. I think Romney needs 3/4 of those plus Colorado or Iowa.
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Florida is going to be interesting, again. 50-50 @ 3.30
A stunning 23 percent of African Americans, the highest figure in the nation, cannot vote due to laws on felon disenfranchisement in Florida. A law signed by Gov. Rick Scott (R) in 2011 also limits voting rights, by making it harder for ex-felons to restore their eligibility and cutting early voting days nearly in half. The result has been chaos during early voting in places like Miami-Dade County, where people have waited in line for as many as eight hours. Florida also has a photo ID law.
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Elizabeth Warren just called the winner of the Massachusetts senate race.
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Vermont, although a safe Blue State, looks like a landslide for Obama compared to '08
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Wherever you are .... this year I'm in India on a business trip - it brings back weird memories - 8 years ago we'd packed up our family in California, gone to Burning Man and just kept on driving east, escaped an incoming hurricane in New Orleans, gave away the truck in Atlanta, dragged the kids through the monuments in DC, stayed next to ground 0 in NZ and then dragged the kids around the museums of Europe .... come election day we were in India watching Bush being elected again and as a result feeling good about our move back to NZ
Today is a weird deja vu
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Dotcom: African country suspends new site
Well, we know what happened there don't we?. -
I wonder whether John Key will be voting in Hawaii?
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At the moment, the question seems to be "Will Obama win by enough that a final result is not dependent on a recount in Florida"
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Obama looking good in Ohio and Florida based on Nate Silver's "important county" exit poll analysis
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87% reported for Florida and Obama with 0.5% lead.
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Kyle Matthews, in reply to
He doesn't need Florida if he gets Nevada and Colorado. That will get him to 274.
Looking good in Florida though anyway. CNN has him 37000 ahead, 86% counted.
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Colorado's marijuana-leglaisation ballot question is looking good for a "yes". And Massachusetts has passed medical marijuana.
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Hadn't realised it was as recent as 1968 that an "independent" had actually taken electoral college votes. Maximum ever taken was Teddy Roosevelt post-Presidency with the Bull Moose Party (rad!) getting 88 in 1912.
#funhistoricalelectoralcollegefacts -
So, is there any hard data -- and please don't quote exit polls or cable news projections at me or I'll forget I'm a gentleman. :)
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Looks like Todd “women's bodies can shut down pregnancies in case of legitimate rape” Akin lost out to Claire McAskill.
ABC calling it.
Here’s the NY Time page:
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Gareth Ward, in reply to
So, is there any hard data -- and please don't quote exit polls or cable news projections at me or I'll forget I'm a gentleman. :)
So you're looking for 100% counted and verified results in at-play states? Don't think so, no...
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Joe Wylie, in reply to
Teddy Roosevelt
More Roosevelt fun facts :
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So, is there any hard data – and please don’t quote exit polls or cable news projections at me or I’ll forget I’m a gentleman. :)
I'm still waiting on this for Florida 2000 :(
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Andrew Geddis, in reply to
87% reported for Florida and Obama with 0.5% lead.
Can I just go on record here as saying that Obama is going to win Florida (the bulk of the remaining votes are in Miami-Dade, which he's winning by 2-1)? And so Obama is going to be the next President of the USA.
You can all turn off your computers/TVs now. I have spoken.
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Gareth Ward, in reply to
You can all turn off your computers/TVs now
But I called a 300 vote win for him so now have to obsessively check if I'm correct!
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