Posts by Peter Green
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Polity: Cold, calculated and cynical, in reply to
A forced acknowledgement of the error, buried at the end of a bulletin many months from now after everything's moved on!
If only! It's the BSA, they're more likely to say the errors "weren't material" and decline to uphold the complaint.
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If Chinese people are disproportionately engaged in speculation, are they disproportionately selling as well as buying (that’s how speculation works, right?)?
According to the report in The Herald, yes they are.
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Gower really didn't do a "decent enough job" in his report. He made multiple important factual errors with regards to the Labour constitution, and he claimed Cunliffe said something seconds after a clip of him emphatically not saying that thing.
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Hard News: Interview: Glenn Greenwald, in reply to
Sir Bruce Ferguson was fairly clear on Radio NZ that something is only legally "interception" if it's targeted. Therefore "indiscriminate interception" is technically an oxymoron in GCSB doublespeak.
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Speaker: Confidential information: the…, in reply to
The question then is: does Cameron Slater have authority to access the server that hosts the Labour Party website?
A computer system 248(b) "includes any part of the items described in paragraph (a) and all related input, output, processing, storage, software, or communication facilities, and stored data."
So authorised to access the webserver shouldn't be enough.
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Hard News: The Letter, in reply to
But we seem to have a situation where the government gets the information immediately and can make use of it while a journalist is made to wait nearly a month before being refused.
The Gov't get it under no surprises, but the Opposition doesn't. And then the Gov't get to spin this as them being more competent.
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And, significantly, the swing is reflected in the regular Government Confidence Rating
I need to edgeler this bit. If your outlier poll has sampled too many National voters, then you'll get increases in party vote, preferred PM, and govt confidence. When they all move together, that's what we expect — it's not evidence that the swings are real.
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Hard News: Gower Speaks, in reply to
For example, are they consistent for a given research house over some years?
No, not consistent over a long time period (multiple election cycles). The polling firms are always trying to improve their methods, so we wouldn't expect them to be.
They look reasonable consistent over shorter periods (an election cycle), although I haven't formally tested this.
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Hard News: Gower Speaks, in reply to
It's a really nice font, thanks.
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Hard News: Gower Speaks, in reply to
Slightly off-topic: how'd you get that cool handwriting effect for the "Colmar Results" text?