Posts by Phil Lyth
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OnPoint: Association of Community…, in reply to Phil Lyth,
oops, out of editing time. Let's try that as:
Well that comment is a little less unclassy than Inwood's tweet, but still as shonky.
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OnPoint: Association of Community…, in reply to Carrick Graham,
public health researchers
Well that comment is a little less classy than Inwood's tweet, but still as shonky.
For the record, the science convinced 97.5% of MPs to vote for the third reading of Smoke-free Environments (Controls and Enforcement) Amendment Bill last July and so ban power walls in New Zealand.
Really successful work by Big Tobacco, guys.
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OnPoint: Association of Community…, in reply to poffa,
the wonderfully tantalising display of carcinogens
To remind you that the law was changed last July and power walls will soon be a thing of the past. Hansard of the Third Reading debate is here.
As I understand it, new power walls will be illegal from 22 July this year, and existing ones have to be removed by 22 July next year.
There is still a lot of work to be done - plain packaging being most referenced in the above debate.
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Legal Beagle: 14 Pages of Democracy, in reply to David Hood,
Replying more generally than Graeme, the good folks at the Electoral Commission have lots and lots of data online for general elections since 1996 (plus byelections). Not just split vote info, but lots more. Select the election/byelection and drill down!
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Legal Beagle: 14 Pages of Democracy, in reply to Graeme Edgeler,
Yes.
2008
2005
2002Anorak Heaven, perhaps.
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Legal Beagle: 14 Pages of Democracy, in reply to Sacha,
what the Greens were telling voters is also fanciful
At an Ohariu meet the candidates evening, Gareth Hughes explicitly asked for party votes for the Greens, and didn't mention candidate votes. The Libertarianz man was the only other one to do ask for party votes. Chauvel not surprisingly said it was a two-way race between him and Dunne, with a nice quip that Shanks wanted candidate votes but wasn't allowed to say so. Dunne of course wanted the candidate vote.
Shanks asked people to vote for John Key, who wasn't on the Ohariu ballot. The other asked us to vote for NZ First and Conservative without being specific.
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It's a relief this latest quake didn't generate a tsunami.
Belatedly to report, a GeoNet person on National Radio yesterday said that one thing they can authoritatively say is that yesterday's quakes would not have generated a tsunami, that would require a magnitude 7 or bigger.
I wondered about the Sept 2010 7.1 quake and found GeoNet's site says there was no tsunami because the epicentre was under land.
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Technical note, for any would-be anoraks out there wanting to read the split vote information. From the index page you can download an electorate as a web page or csv file. The latter can be manipulated in Excel or other spreadsheet software.
The splits are given as percentages of the party vote, and read across a row.
For example in Waitakere, there were 11,579 party votes for Labour. Of these, 85.57% gave the candidate vote to Sepuloni and 3.78% to Bennett. Using Excel or a trusty calculator you can translate these to 9908 and 438 people respectively. (Rounding required because the percentages are only given to 2 decimal places.)
It is left as an exercise to show the comparable numbers of National voters are 368 and 11,394.
Those interested can analyse voting data until something better comes along ...
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So the Electoral Commission has (impressively quickly) put full election statistics online including split vote information. Overall slightly more of us split our votes – 30.7% vs 29.63% in 2008.
I’m disappointed in the Herald’s angle, ‘the Greens are to blame’ for Waitakere. In fact, Bennett’s votes came from all over.
She got two ticks from 91% of National voters, compared to only 86% of Labour voters giving two ticks to Sepuloni. Conservative Party voters, perhaps unsurprisingly, gave 220 more votes to Bennett. But she also got 440 votes from NZ First, 85 from United, and 84 from Maori Party. ACT voters preferred Bennett over Sepuloni by 7-1.
But to my mind the telling blow is that Bennett got 437 votes from people who party voted Labour, yet only 368 voted the reverse, National and Sepuloni.
Despite any ‘blame the Greens’ meme, the fact is Bennett was adjudged to have got a whisker more votes, from across all parties.
(Technical note follows)
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Legal Beagle: 14 Pages of Democracy, in reply to Arthur on MemeSpree NZ,
Might pay to check with the Electoral Enrolment Centre, 04 801 0700. I have an idea that the people in this situation (~15,000 - 20,000 each election) get an invitation to enrol. I think it does not say the special vote wasn't counted. But it would pay to check.