Posts by Stephen Judd

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  • Hard News: Living with the psychopath, in reply to Richard Aston,

    The Kia Marama programme showed a 10% recidivism rate but, this is interesting, those that don’t do the treatment have a recidivism rate of 23%
    Doesn’t seem like much of a difference to me.

    What? That's huge.

    Suppose we have 100 offenders who go through KM, and 100 who don't. Then of the first group, there are 10 recidivists, vs 23 in the second. So superficially, it seems that the KM program more than halves the number of recidivists.

    Having said that, maybe people who volunteer for KM are people who are less likely to reoffend, and the program itself does nothing except identify those people. Can't say without more information.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 3122 posts Report

  • Up Front: The Up-Front Guides: The…, in reply to Rob Hosking,

    solving that question
    Brings the priest and the doctor
    In their long coats
    Running over the fields.

    The doctor, in this, is perhaps of philosophy, and/or an idealogue of some description, rather than a doctor of medicine.

    Really? I read that as saying that to solve the problem "where to live but days?" is to die. The priest and the doctor are running to your deathbed, to administer the last rites and try to bleed you one more time.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 3122 posts Report

  • Hard News: Christchurch: Is "quite good"…, in reply to Lilith __,

    I do wonder why such an important set of decisions are being taken so swiftly.

    I honestly believe that the biggest reason was the rhetorical appeal of "100 days" for the minister. The fact that this arbitrary deadline made the big launch clash with the Olympics opening (hence the embarrassing late delay until Monday) shows that the Government can't even do shallow and venal right.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 3122 posts Report

  • Hard News: Christchurch: Is "quite good"…, in reply to Richard Aston,

    Will the new ChCh be robust enough to survive another earthquake or maybe a big flood. I am not sure NZ can take another hit like this.

    It will be more robust than any other NZ city. The weak structures are gone. Christchurch as it is now is stronger than, say, Dunedin or Wellington.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 3122 posts Report

  • Hard News: Christchurch: Is "quite good"…, in reply to Moata T,

    Yeah, I have gripes but it could have been a lot worse. Considering the huge range of opinions out there, that's quite an achievement.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 3122 posts Report

  • Hard News: Christchurch: Is "quite good"…, in reply to Keir Leslie,

    Convention centres are privatised town halls.

    Word.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 3122 posts Report

  • Hard News: Christchurch: Is "quite good"…, in reply to Keir Leslie,

    I'll quote the bit that I updated my earlier comment with, and perhaps thereby buried, because I kind of agree with you:

    in fact what we need is some deliberately crummy, short term buildings like the container mall. Then I predict that by 2030, people will be wringing their hands about how to stop the iron rusting and writing columns celebrating the quirky and unusual workshops and galleries that inhabit the marginal structures that were never meant to live that long.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 3122 posts Report

  • Hard News: Christchurch: Is "quite good"…,

    The fundamental problem I reckon is that most of the things that make cities neat places to be arise organically over time. In fact, they kind of require controlled decay – old buildings become cheap, run-down, and then new things arise in them and they get repurposed. A wholly new central city can’t have a cheap rundown street like K Road or Cuba or Brunswick in it, it can’t have cheap apartments shoved into unlikely places, in fact it just can’t have cheap and cheerful anything.

    [Update: in fact what we need is some deliberately crummy, short term buildings like the container mall. Then I predict that by 2030, people will be wringing their hands about how to stop the iron rusting and writing columns celebrating the quirky and unusual workshops and galleries that inhabit the marginal structures that were never meant to live that long.]

    Having said that:
    - I share the worries about lack of mixed use areas and dangerous “dead zones” around facilities that are only used a small proportion of the day/week. It would be good to get some reassurance that details we haven’t heard yet are going to fill in that apparent gap.
    - In the long run, like 20 years, this will sort itself out. Governments will change, people will come and go, some of the things planned now will never be built, other structures will arise elsewhere. Small consolation, I know.
    - Fucking convention centres – why? WHY? Where does this mania for convention centres come from? At least lots of people like sport, even if I don’t, but convention centres serve a tiny proportion of people a small amount of the time and have pathetic spin offs in employing more low-paid hospo workers.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 3122 posts Report

  • Up Front: The Up-Front Guides: The…,

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 3122 posts Report

  • Up Front: The Up-Front Guides: The…,

    I wonder what Richard Prosser would make of St Serge and St Bacchus.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 3122 posts Report

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