Posts by Yamis
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Hard News: Five further thoughts, in reply to Dylan Reeve,
But that’s countered by the common sense idea that working harder earns more money. A lower minimum wage “creates more jobs” which increases competition making thus naturally driving up wages.
Makes no sense to me. If it were true then countries without minimum wages for decades would all be earning shitloads by now since they must have high rates of employment and mass competition. They aren't. They are by and large earning miserable amounts of money.
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Hard News: Five further thoughts, in reply to Dylan Reeve,
I honestly can’t see any good reason to have published polls like that during the election.
It's probably a bit like band wagon sports fans suddenly deciding they are a fan of a team that just happens to win a lot (purely coincidental of course ;) ).
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1. Christ, what a shellacking. Click around Harkanwal Singh’s Herald interactive. In electorate after electorate, polling place after polling place, National won at least a plurality of the votes. Even where voters collectively chose to return their Labour MPs to Parliament, they generally gave their party votes to National. Labour won the party vote in only five general electorates. I don’t think it’s viable for Cunliffe to stay on after this.
Labour won 24.69% of the party vote but won 38.03% of the electorates (27 from 71). Up 5 from 2011 where they won 22 from 70.
National won 42 from 70 in 2011, and 41 from 71 in 2014.
So:
2011
Party vote Labour 27.5% vs National 47.3%
Electorate wins Labour 31.4% vs National 60%2014
Party vote Labour 24.7% vs National 48.06%
Electorate wins Labour 38% vs National 57.7%So whilst Labour's party vote dropped a few percent their candidates did better than 3 years ago partly at the expense of the Maori Party but also National saw a little dip. That's probably more fuel for the problem being a lack of leadership for Labour. As in leader + policy.
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Does anybody know how many eligible voters are in the Maori electorates? And what is the rough number of people in each electorate across the country? Is it about 35,000 ??? Just curious because from my perusal of the Auckland electorates the safe (understatement) National seats were all getting around 30,000 turning out vs around 22 to 23,000 in places like Mangere, Manurewa, Manukau East... While the Maori turnouts were around 17-18,000.
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Buy a house.
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2002
Labour: 41.26%
National: 20.93%
NZ First: 10.38%
Act: 7.14%
Green: 7%
UF: 6.69%
Prog: 1.70%
others 4.89%Here’s a fun game. Look at the current polls with National around 48% and Labour 27% and shuffle those numbers.
At the end of it there’s probably about 5-7% sitting in National that Labour could nick (given 7% or so has shifted to the Greens).
margin of error: +/- 4 bourbans
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Roast dove anybody?
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This reminded me of the Warriors opening game in 1995 v the Broncos. We were up high in the main stand and when they blew that car up to the sounds of War stuff went flying. On replay later you could see that one of the car doors blew many metres into the air and came crashing down on the field where there were dozens of people running about. In an effort to make sure we were in the ground for the game dad nearly volunteered us to be amongst the pre-match entertainment. Luckily in the end we just got ordinary old tickets.
One thing which freaks me at live games now is those flame throwers that shoot up in to the air. I have visions of some schmuck wandering over to one and looking into the top of it (they're about 4 feet tall) just as some bloke on the switch turns it on.
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and here is 'The Chills' fan, Brian with a So Cow song named "Casablanca" :)