Posts by Henry Barnard
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Very revealing contrast in the way TV One (and Katie Bradford) framed Cunliffe's speech and TV3 (and Amanda Gillies) on their 6 pm TV news items.
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Hard News: The Letter, in reply to Kumara Republic,
If there’s only one factor behind Labour’s current malaise, it’s the fact there are still too many seat-warmers in the current Labour caucus. But it’s no easy feat to tell the seat-warmers to know when to quit.
True and it shows, and also the disunity is obvious: in the theatrics of fronting the media, in the blandness of policy. But is this a product of the new rules for electing the leader? DC was thrust on an unwilling caucus.
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Hard News: The Letter, in reply to Idiot Savant,
none of this excuses Cunliffe or Labour’s muppetry
Muppetry? Really? Not remembering a letter you signed off on (probably with a very cursory reading) 11 years ago? Your standards must be awfully high.
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Hard News: Meanwhile back at the polls, in reply to Alec Morgan,
a regular poster had the exact headline results of the Roy Morgan two days in advance.
One can get ahead of the media on this by using `follow that page'. I saw them on Thursday last week.
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Hard News: Meanwhile back at the polls, in reply to Bart Janssen,
But getting back to the poll, isn't it the case the `shocker' is the drop in the Greens number? From 13.5 to 9? The Labour number, at 29, is not much different from where it has been hovering, around 30, all this year. An outlier? Quite likely, in my view. It is hard to think of anything that has happened in those weeks to lead one to think that 30% of those who would have voted Green wouldn't do so now.
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Speaker: Sponsored post: Speed and Safety, in reply to Ian Dalziel,
personally I think we should all have Morris Minors that we can work on and drive sedately in…
In India, it is the Morris Oxford of 1957 that continues to be produced, with an immense local knowledge by the roadside on how to fix things when things go wrong. But George is right: we need something a little less like a tank.
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It would seem that Labour and the Greens are not so much standing together as falling apart together if the latest Roy Morgan Poll poll is anything to go by. Gary Morgan comments on their poll
Today’s results show it is time Labour focused more on articulating its policies for the electorate than trying to damage National.
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Hard News: Gower Speaks, in reply to BenWilson,
On the question of “What will Winston do?”, the data I think would be most relevant that could be collected is “What do NZF voters want him to do?”. If a strong and clear majority want him to go with National, that makes it very much more likely. Because he’d lose a lot of support if he didn’t do it.
Isn't that, sort of, what the Horizon poll does with its question "If there is a coalition government after the next general election, which main party would you prefer to lead it?" The answers from those who gave their party vote to NZF in 2011 (n=230): Labour 73%, National 27%.
However, as we have been reminded, Peters went with National in 1996 - and was booted out in 1999. But if this is his last fling, would he care about repeating that history? Especially as NZF and Green are, as Ben puts it, `positively correlated'?
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From the Horizon poll:
If there is a coalition government after the next general election, which main party would you prefer to lead it?
Answers from those who gave their party vote to NZF in 2011 (n=230): Labour 73%, National 27%
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Hard News: Friday Music: The First Time, in reply to Sacha,
prehaps
Definitely prehaps but I was willing :)